ChainScore Labs
LABS
Guides

Yield Farming in Bear and Bull Markets

A tactical guide to adjusting liquidity provision and incentive capture strategies across different market conditions.
Chainscore © 2025
core_concepts

Foundational Market Cycle Concepts

An overview of how yield farming strategies and risks fundamentally shift between bear and bull market conditions, highlighting key concepts for navigating volatility and optimizing returns.

01

Risk-Off Farming

Risk-Off Farming prioritizes capital preservation over high yields during bear markets. Strategies focus on stable, low-volatility assets.

  • Focus on stablecoins: Farming pairs like USDC/DAI to avoid impermanent loss from volatile assets.
  • Use of established blue-chip protocols: Depositing into Aave or Compound for predictable, lower APY.
  • Why this matters: Protects principal during downturns, providing a steady, defensive income stream while waiting for market recovery.
02

Aggressive Liquidity Provision

Aggressive Liquidity Provision involves providing liquidity to high-volatility, high-growth token pairs during bull markets to maximize yield.

  • Targeting new token launches: Farming pools for newly listed assets on DEXs like Uniswap, which often offer massive initial APRs.
  • Embracing impermanent loss risk: Accepting the trade-off for potentially outsized rewards from trading fees and token appreciation.
  • Why this matters: Capitalizes on market euphoria and high trading volume to generate superior returns, though it requires active monitoring.
03

Yield Compression & Expansion

Yield Compression & Expansion describes the cyclical fluctuation of APYs driven by capital inflows and market sentiment.

  • Compression in bull markets: As more capital floods into popular farms, APYs drop due to increased competition for rewards.
  • Expansion in bear markets: Capital flight reduces liquidity, often causing APYs to spike for those willing to farm.
  • Why this matters: Understanding this cycle helps farmers time their entry and exit, seeking high yields when others are fearful.
04

Protocol Incentive Cycles

Protocol Incentive Cycles refer to the planned distribution of native tokens by DeFi protocols to attract liquidity, which intensifies during specific market phases.

  • Bull market 'liquidity mining' blitzes: Protocols like Curve launch massive token emissions to bootstrap new pools and capture market share.
  • Bear market sustainability shifts: Protocols often reduce emissions, focusing on fee-sharing models and real yield to retain loyal farmers.
  • Why this matters: Farmers must align with protocols whose incentive models match the market cycle to optimize token rewards and sustainability.
05

Cross-Chain Yield Arbitrage

Cross-Chain Yield Arbitrage exploits differing APYs for similar assets or strategies across multiple blockchains, a tactic viable in all markets but with shifting focus.

  • Bull market focus on speed: Chasing the highest-emitting new farms on emerging L2s or alt-L1s like Avalanche or Solana.
  • Bear market focus on security: Moving funds to more established, secure chains (e.g., Ethereum L2s) for reliable yields despite potentially lower APY.
  • Why this matters: Enables farmers to continuously seek the most efficient returns while managing chain-specific risks like bridge security.
06

Delta-Neutral Strategies

Delta-Neutral Strategies aim to hedge against the underlying asset's price movement, isolating pure yield. This is crucial for managing risk across cycles.

  • Using perpetual futures or options: Farming ETH while shorting ETH futures to offset price exposure, locking in the farming APR.
  • Application in bear markets: Protects against further downside while still earning yield.
  • Why this matters: Allows sophisticated farmers to generate consistent returns regardless of market direction, though it involves complexity and funding costs.

Strategic Frameworks by Condition

Defensive Positioning and Capital Preservation

In a bear market, characterized by falling asset prices and low sentiment, the primary goal shifts from aggressive growth to capital preservation and risk management. The high volatility and potential for impermanent loss are magnified, making safe, stable strategies paramount.

Core Defensive Tactics

  • Focus on Stablecoin Pairs: Provide liquidity to pools like DAI/USDC on Curve Finance or USDT/USDC to earn fees with minimal exposure to volatile assets, drastically reducing impermanent loss risk.
  • Prioritize Security and Proven Protocols: Allocate capital to blue-chip DeFi protocols such as Aave or Compound for lending stablecoins, which offer predictable yields backed by over-collateralized loans.
  • Utilize Hedging Instruments: Explore yield-bearing strategies that incorporate options or insurance protocols like Opyn or Nexus Mutual to hedge against downside risk in your farming positions.

Practical Example

When using Balancer in a bear market, you might create a custom pool with 80% stablecoins and 20% of a depressed but fundamentally strong asset (e.g., ETH). This captures some upside if the asset recovers while the stablecoin majority protects your principal. The pool's smart order routing automatically rebalances to maintain these ratios, simplifying management.

Bear Market Playbook: Capital Preservation

A tactical guide for navigating yield farming strategies to protect and grow capital through volatile market cycles.

1

Step 1: Assess Risk and Deploy to Stablecoin Pools

Prioritize capital preservation by focusing on low-volatility assets.

Detailed Instructions

In a bear market, the primary objective shifts from high returns to capital preservation. The most effective initial strategy is to allocate a significant portion of your portfolio to yield-bearing stablecoin pools. These pools, often involving assets like USDC, DAI, or USDT, offer yield from trading fees and lending protocols while minimizing exposure to the price volatility of speculative assets.

  • Sub-step 1: Research Protocols: Identify established, audited DeFi protocols with a strong track record, such as Aave, Compound, or Curve Finance.
  • Sub-step 2: Select a Pool: Choose a stablecoin liquidity pool. For example, the Curve 3pool (DAI, USDC, USDT) is a popular, low-impermanent-loss option.
  • Sub-step 3: Deposit Funds: Connect your wallet (e.g., MetaMask) and approve the token contract before depositing. A typical deposit command sequence might look like:
javascript
// Approve USDC spending for Curve contract await usdcContract.approve(curve3PoolAddress, amount); // Deposit into the pool await curve3PoolContract.add_liquidity([usdcAmount, daiAmount, usdtAmount], 0);

Tip: Always verify the pool's contract address on the protocol's official website or Etherscan to avoid phishing scams. For the Curve 3pool, the mainnet address is 0xbEbc44782C7dB0a1A60Cb6fe97d0b483032FF1C7.

2

Step 2: Utilize Hedged Yield Strategies with Options Vaults

Generate yield while protecting your principal with structured products.

Detailed Instructions

To generate yield on volatile assets like ETH or WBTC without taking on full downside risk, employ hedged yield strategies. Platforms like Ribbon Finance or Friktion offer covered call or put-selling vaults. These automated vaults sell options contracts against your deposited assets, earning premium income (yield) while defining your maximum risk. In a bear market, selling cash-secured puts can be a prudent way to accumulate assets at lower prices.

  • Sub-step 1: Choose a Strategy: For a bearish-to-neutral outlook, a Theta Vault that sells out-of-the-money put options can be suitable. You earn premiums and only buy the asset if it drops to a specific strike price.
  • Sub-step 2: Analyze Vault Metrics: Before depositing, check the vault's Annual Percentage Yield (APY), historical performance, and the current strike price relative to the asset's spot price.
  • Sub-step 3: Deposit and Monitor: Deposit your stablecoins or the underlying asset into the vault smart contract. Monitor the vault's health and be prepared for possible assignment if the option expires in-the-money.

Tip: Start with a small percentage of your portfolio to understand the mechanics. The APY is variable and depends on market volatility (vega) and time decay (theta).

3

Step 3: Leverage Liquid Staking for Dual Yield

Earn staking rewards while maintaining liquidity for other opportunities.

Detailed Instructions

Liquid staking protocols like Lido (stETH) or Rocket Pool (rETH) allow you to stake Proof-of-Stake assets (e.g., ETH) and receive a liquid token in return. This token accrues staking rewards and can be simultaneously deployed in other DeFi protocols for additional yield layers, a strategy known as "DeFi Lego". This is crucial in a bear market to maximize the utility of locked capital.

  • Sub-step 1: Stake Your Assets: Convert your ETH to a liquid staking token. For example, stake ETH on Lido to receive stETH at a 1:1 ratio, which compounds rewards daily.
  • Sub-step 2: Deploy in Money Markets: Use your stETH as collateral to borrow stablecoins on Aave. This creates a leveraged staking position but increases risk.
  • Sub-step 3: Farm with the Stablecoins: Take the borrowed stablecoins and deposit them into a yield-bearing stablecoin pool (from Step 1), aiming for a yield spread over your borrowing cost.

Tip: Closely monitor your Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio and health factor on Aave. If the value of your stETH collateral falls, you may face liquidation. A safe maximum LTV is typically 50-60%.

4

Step 4: Implement Dynamic Rebalancing and Exit Triggers

Protect gains and mitigate losses with predefined rules.

Detailed Instructions

Capital preservation requires discipline. Establish clear rebalancing schedules and exit triggers for all farming positions. In a bear market, you must be ready to de-risk quickly. Use tools like Gelato Network for automation or set manual alerts for key price levels and protocol metrics.

  • Sub-step 1: Set Profit-Taking Levels: Define a target APY or dollar gain. For instance, "Take 50% of farmed rewards when total position yield reaches 15% APY realized."
  • Sub-step 2: Define Stop-Loss Conditions: Set triggers based on Total Value Locked (TVL) decline in a protocol (e.g., -30%), a collapse in APY, or a smart contract warning from a service like DeFi Safety.
  • Sub-step 3: Schedule Regular Rebalancing: Every two weeks, review all positions. Exit underperforming or risky farms and reallocate to the safest options, like government bond equivalents in DeFi (e.g., Aave's GHO savings rate).

Tip: Keep a war chest of stablecoins (at least 20-30% of portfolio) un-farmed to capitalize on severe market dips and new, high-conviction opportunities that arise during panic sell-offs.

5

Step 5: Pivot to Bull Market Farming Strategies

Gradually shift from preservation to growth as market conditions improve.

Detailed Instructions

When on-chain metrics and macroeconomic indicators signal a sustained bull market, strategically pivot a portion of your preserved capital towards higher-growth, higher-risk farming. The key is to scale in gradually, starting with blue-chip decentralized exchange (DEX) pools for major assets before exploring newer, higher-APY opportunities.

  • Sub-step 1: Identify Early Trends: Monitor narratives and token launches on platforms like DeFi Llama. Early liquidity provision to a new, promising DEX like a Uniswap V3 pool for a trending asset can yield significant fee revenue.
  • Sub-step 2: Manage Impermanent Loss (IL): In bull markets, IL becomes a major risk in volatile token pairs. Use concentrated liquidity on Uniswap V3 to provide liquidity within a specific price range (e.g., ETH/USDC between $2,500 and $3,500) to maximize fees and control risk.
solidity
// Example: Minting a concentrated liquidity position on Uniswap V3 INonfungiblePositionManager.safeMint( params: { token0: USDC_ADDRESS, token1: WETH_ADDRESS, fee: 3000, // 0.3% pool tickLower: getTickFromPrice(2500), tickUpper: getTickFromPrice(3500), ... } );
  • Sub-step 3: Reinvest and Compound: Automatically compound your farming rewards back into the position to benefit from exponential growth, using harvesters like Beefy Finance or Yearn vaults.

Tip: Never allocate more than 5-10% of your total capital to experimental, high-APY "farm and dump" projects. Always verify contract ownership renouncement and liquidity locks.

Bull Market Playbook: Capital Growth

A tactical guide to yield farming strategies optimized for both bear and bull market conditions to maximize capital growth.

1

Step 1: Assess Market Phase & Risk Tolerance

Diagnose the current market environment and align your farming strategy with your risk profile.

Detailed Instructions

Before deploying capital, you must accurately diagnose the market phase. In a bear market, capital preservation is paramount, while a bull market favors aggressive growth. Analyze on-chain metrics like Total Value Locked (TVL) trends and funding rates. For example, a sustained TVL decline across major protocols like Aave or Compound signals bearish sentiment.

  • Sub-step 1: Define Your Risk Profile: Determine if you are capital-preserving (bear) or growth-seeking (bull).
  • Sub-step 2: Analyze Key Indicators: Check the 30-day trend of the Fear & Greed Index and aggregate DEX volumes.
  • Sub-step 3: Select Protocol Tier: For bear markets, prioritize blue-chip protocols (e.g., MakerDAO, Lido). For bull markets, you can explore newer, higher-yield opportunities.

Tip: Use a dashboard like DeFi Llama to track real-time TVL and APY metrics across chains.

2

Step 2: Deploy to Bear Market Strategies

Implement defensive yield farming tactics focused on stable assets and proven protocols.

Detailed Instructions

In a downturn, focus on stablecoin pairs and over-collateralized lending to generate yield with minimized impermanent loss. The primary goal is to earn real yield from fees and lending interest, not token speculation. A core strategy is providing liquidity to a stablecoin pool like USDC/DAI on Curve Finance.

  • Sub-step 1: Choose a Stable Pool: Deposit into Curve's 3pool (DAI, USDC, USDT) which currently offers ~2% APY.
  • Sub-step 2: Stake LP Tokens: After depositing, stake the received LP token (e.g., 3Crv) on Convex Finance to boost rewards.
  • Sub-step 3: Claim and Compound: Regularly claim CRV and CVX rewards and compound them back into the pool.
code
// Example: Querying estimated APY for Curve 3pool on Ethereum const poolAPY = await curve.getPoolAPY('3pool'); console.log(`Current 3pool APY: ${poolAPY}%`);

Tip: Always verify the smart contract address for the Curve 3pool (0xbEbc44782C7dB0a1A60Cb6fe97d0b483032FF1C7) on Etherscan.

3

Step 3: Execute Bull Market Strategies

Pivot to growth-oriented farming with volatile asset pairs and incentive token rewards.

Detailed Instructions

A bull market allows for targeting higher Annual Percentage Yield (APY) by farming governance tokens and liquidity mining rewards. Focus on volatile asset pairs (e.g., ETH/DeFi tokens) on emerging Layer 2s like Arbitrum or Optimism where incentives are high. A key tactic is leveraged yield farming on platforms like Aave or Compound.

  • Sub-step 1: Identify High-Incentive Pools: Look for pools with double or triple rewards (e.g., base APY + extra tokens).
  • Sub-step 2: Provide Liquidity: Deposit an asset pair like ETH/wstETH into a Uniswap V3 pool with a concentrated range.
  • Sub-step 3: Stake and Leverage: Stake the NFT position, then use it as collateral to borrow stablecoins and re-deposit, amplifying exposure.
code
// Example: Checking pending rewards on a liquidity pool const rewards = await uniswapStaker.getRewardInfo( '0x123...abc', // Your NFT token ID '0x1f984...' // Incentive contract address );

Tip: Monitor emission schedules; token rewards often decrease over time. Use a tracker like ApeBoard for a unified view.

4

Step 4: Manage, Compound, and Exit

Continuously monitor positions, automate compounding, and plan secure exits.

Detailed Instructions

Active portfolio management is critical. Use yield aggregators (like Yearn Finance) or auto-compounders (like Beefy Finance) to automatically reinvest rewards, harnessing the power of compound interest. Set clear take-profit and stop-loss parameters, especially for volatile bull market positions.

  • Sub-step 1: Automate Compounding: Deposit LP tokens into a vault (e.g., Beefy's AVAX-USDC vault on Trader Joe).
  • Sub-step 2: Monitor Health Ratios: For leveraged positions, ensure your health factor on Aave stays above 2.0 to avoid liquidation.
  • Sub-step 3: Plan Your Exit: Decide on a target APY drop (e.g., exit if APY falls below 15%) or a specific price level for your farmed tokens.
code
// Example: Simple health factor check for an Aave position const userData = await aaveProtocol.getUserAccountData('0xYourAddress'); console.log(`Health Factor: ${userData.healthFactor}`); if (userData.healthFactor < 1.5) console.warn('Liquidation Risk!');

Tip: Always keep a portion of rewards in stablecoins to pay for gas fees and have dry powder for new opportunities.

Strategy Comparison Matrix

Comparison of yield farming strategies in bear and bull market conditions

Strategy FeatureBear Market (Defensive)Bull Market (Aggressive)All-Weather (Balanced)

Primary Asset Focus

Stablecoin Pools (USDC/DAI)

High-Beta Altcoin Pairs (ETH/DOT)

Blue-Chip Pairs (ETH/USDC)

Typical APY Range

3-8%

15-45% (with high impermanent loss risk)

8-18%

Liquidity Provider (LP) Token Staking

Curve Finance (3pool)

Uniswap V3 (concentrated liquidity)

Balancer (80/20 ETH/stable pools)

Risk Management

Auto-compounding in stable assets

Dynamic range orders on Uniswap V3

Diversified across 5+ protocols

Capital Efficiency

Low (requires full range liquidity)

High (concentrated capital in tight ranges)

Medium (partial range optimization)

Impermanent Loss Protection

Minimal (stable-to-stable pairs)

Significant risk (volatile pairs)

Hedged with options on Deribit

Gas Fee Optimization

Arbitrum/Polygon deployment

Mainnet with high fee tolerance

Optimism/Arbitrum L2 focus

Exit Strategy

Hold stablecoins during downturns

Take profits at 2x, rotate to stables

DCA out over 6-month periods

Advanced Considerations & Risk Analysis

Impermanent loss is the potential loss of value when providing liquidity in an Automated Market Maker (AMM) pool compared to simply holding the assets. In a bull market, high volatility between paired assets (like ETH and a stablecoin) can lead to significant divergence, causing you to end up with more of the poorer-performing asset. For example, if ETH triples against USDC, you'll have less ETH and more USDC than you started with. Conversely, in a bear market, while price action is generally down, the relative stability between two volatile assets (like ETH/BTC) can reduce IL, but the overall portfolio value still declines with the market. The risk is often amplified by high-yield incentives that may not compensate for the underlying capital erosion.